After the Democratic primary in Puerto Rico
Added on June 2, 2008 at 21:15 Swiss time
According to CNN online, Barack
Obama has now the support of 1,741 pledged delegates and 331 superdelegates.
With a total of 2,072 delegates behind him, his is just 46 votes below the
2,118 bar to win the Democratic nomination. Hillary Clinton is in a
desperate situation because she has only a total of 1,916 delegates behind
Article added on June 2, 2008 at 13:05 Swiss time
With 100% of precincts reporting,
Hillary Clinton won the Democratic primary in Puerto Rico of June 1, 2008 with
68% of the vote, whereas Barack Obama got only meager 32%.
Despite this success, the
American presidential election is over for Hillary Clinton, at least
regarding her run for the highest office the
United States can offer to a politician.
Hillary Clinton's win in Puerto Rico brought her additional 38 pledged
delegates. Barack Obama got 17 pledged delegates.
The more important news already broke on Saturday when the Democratic rules
panel decided what to do with the electoral results in Florida and
Michigan. The Rules Committee overturned its earlier decision not to count the votes
in the two states because the Democratic leadership in the two states had moved their primaries
to to early a date. Instead, the committee agreed on May 31, 2008 to seat
the pledged delegates from both states, but cut their votes in half.
The compromise suits Barack Obama. Although the number of delegates to
clinch the Democratic presidential nomination increased to 2,118 votes, he
is certain to be the nominee.
The Democratic leadership's decisions are unconvincing. If you break the
rules, you should not get any votes. That is what the DNC and rules panel
decided earlier. Only pressure from the Clinton camp pushed them to revise
their earlier ruling.
In Michigan, Barack Obama now got delegates, although his name was not even
on the ballot. The compromise offered by the Michigan Democratic Party and
adopted by the Democratic Rules Committee awarded Clinton 69 delegates and
Obama 59, with each delegate getting half a vote at the Democratic
Convention at the end of August. The compromise was adopted by a 19:8 vote.
In Florida, Clinton was awarded 105 pledged delegates and Obama received 67
although, respecting the rules, neither candidate had campaigned in the
The Obama camp had the majority in the rules panel to impose a 50:50 split
of the votes, but instead decided to compromise. However, it was not enough
to calm the fanatic Clinton followers.
The whole nomination risks to get out of control if, after the last two
primaries on Tuesday June 3, Hillary Clinton does not come forward and tells
her supporters to support Barack Obama as the party's nominee.
If the still uncommitted superdelegates are reasonable, directly after the
two remaining primaries in Montana and South Dakota, a majority of them will
step forward and endorse Barack Obama, pushing him over the 2,118 bar.
The Clinton camp still hopes to win a majority of the popular vote in order
to convince the superdelegates to vote for her as the better candidate; any
superdelegate can change his endorsement at any time. The popular vote as
such is irrelevant. It is all about delegates.
Barack Obama is expected to carry both South Dakota and Montana [correction
added on June 3, 2008 at 22:17 Swiss time: the polls show Obama leading
Clinton in Montana, but of course trailing her in South Dakota where Clinton
will probably beat Obama by a double digit margin]. In South
Dakota, where native Americans make up some 9% of the population, Barack
Obama was endorsed by the entire tribal leadership. In Montana, he was
adopted as a son of the Crow tribe.
Despite all the positive news, the longer the weaker Barack Obama looks as a
Democratic candidate. After reverend Michael Pfleger, an invited white
preacher, mocked Hillary Clinton in an insulting sermon in which he mimicked
the New York senator weeping, Barack Obama was forced to leave the Trinity
United Church of Christ.
Barack Obama went a long way since February 25, 2008 when he downplayed
reverend Jeremiah Wright's divisiveness. Later he had to distance himself
from his pastor of twenty years. At the end of May 2008, he decided to leave
his beloved church, not because
“it's the right thing to do for the church and for our family”, as he claimed in
a statement, but in order to keep his presidential ambitions alive.
Barack Obama will need the remaining months until November to convince the
American voters that he is very different from the nuts preaching at his
former church. At Trinity United Church of Christ we can see no
“change we can believe in”.
Barack Obama remains a fortune cookie.
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